Food Business News - February 2, 2021 - 20

MARKET INSIGHT

COVID-19 eats
away at global
cocoa demand
Increase in North American
grind surprises trade

©LIGHTFIELD STUDIOS - STOCK.ADOBE.COM

20

Food Business News

news Godiva Chocolatier will close its
retail stores and cafes in North America
(128) by the end of March.
COVID-19 also has contributed to
disarray on the production side.
Reuters and others reported that
about 100,000 tonnes of cocoa beans, or
about a third of monthly deliveries, were
backlogged at Ivory Coast cooperatives
and farms as the country's regulatory

world's major cocoa processors but failed
to address the reality of the market -
prices tend to fall when demand weakens.
Last week Reuters reported that the
Ivory Coast's domestic cocoa association,
GNI, had petitioned the government's cocoa
regulator to implement reforms to end the
dominance of multi-nationals in handling
cocoa exports. GNI said six companies -
Barry Callebaut, Cargill, Ecom, Olam, Sucden

Annual cocoa bean grind
in tonnes

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

1,438,164

1,290,520

1,330,042

1,300,697

1,321,571

1,343,173

1,378,541

1,436,766

1,443,390

Europe
1,377,614

462,670

479,380

483,795

484,680

485,222

484,992

521,676

511,042

473,791

North America

492,545

F

ourth-quarter cocoa bean grind
data did little to allay concerns
about sagging global cocoa and
chocolate demand resulting from
travel and restaurant restrictions due to
COVID-19, with one arguable exception.
October-December 2020 cocoa bean
grind was surprisingly up 7% from the same
period a year earlier in North America, the
National Confectioners Association recently
reported. But that increase may be more of
a statistical anomaly than surging demand,
according to one analyst, and grind in other
key regions declined, much as was expected.
Jeff Rasinski, with the Blommer Chocolate Co., said grind in the fourth quarter of
2019 was " easy to beat " and an additional
processor was included in the 2020 data that
was not in the 2019 report. Fourth-quarter
2020 grind of 118,043 tonnes looked good
against 110,321 tonnes in October-December
2019, but the latter was the lowest for any
quarter since April-May 2009.
Fourth-quarter grind in Europe, the
largest chocolate-consuming region, was
down 3.1% from a year earlier, while grind
in Asia was down 4.2%, although the latter
was compared with a very strong 2019 fourth
quarter, Mr. Rasinski said. Annual grind was
down 3.5% from 2019 in North America,
down 3.9% in Europe and down 5% in Asia.
Globally, Mr. Rasinski said cocoa
bean grind slightly exceeded expectations,
which " bodes well for the year ahead. "
But COVID-19 is having a noticeable
impact on chocolate demand, especially
premium products that depend on travel
(airports and hotels), at foodservice and
at specialty boutiques. An indication that
all things are not well with chocolate was

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Source: National Confectioners Association and European Cocoa Association

board suspended registration of beans to
reduce stockpiles for export. Some buyers
in Europe and the United States asked
that deliveries scheduled for the fourth
quarter of 2020 be delayed because export
demand was lacking.
Adding to the challenges was the
$400-per-tonne living income differential
(LID) implemented Oct. 1 (on the 2020-21
crop) by the Ivory Coast and Ghana, which
together account for about 60% of global
cocoa bean production. The LID, which is
added to the sale price of cocoa beans in
both countries, is intended to be passed on
to poor West African farmers. The sustainability concept has broad support from the

and Touton - dominate exports from the
Ivory Coast and that major chocolate makers
tend to buy exclusively from them at the expense of the companies represented by GNI.
New York cocoa bean futures have
underperformed many other commodities
since the first of the year, mostly due to ample supplies resulting from weaker demand
and higher prices from the LID scheme,
according to traders. Nearby cocoa bean
futures were down slightly from the end
of 2020, while the nearby world raw sugar
future, for example, was up 5%. FBN
Ron Sterk
rsterk@sosland.com
February 2, 2021


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Food Business News - February 2, 2021

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Food Business News - February 2, 2021

Food Business News - February 2, 2021 - 1
Food Business News - February 2, 2021 - 1
Food Business News - February 2, 2021 - 2
Food Business News - February 2, 2021 - 3
Food Business News - February 2, 2021 - 4
Food Business News - February 2, 2021 - 5
Food Business News - February 2, 2021 - 6
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